", "As Ukraine war enters new phase, can western arms turn the tide? A rule of thumb is that 30 percent losses renders a unit ineffective, not just because of equipment and personnel losses, but also the impact on morale. Other criteria which may be even more important (about which we continue to search for reliable indicators). Significantly, the Ukrainians have captured more tanks than they have lost, according to visually confirmed data from Oryx. Experts put the China notionally Russias ally has scaled back the export of microprocessors necessary for Russias newer missiles, almost certainly because of the fear of secondary sanctions if it is seen to be feeding Putins war machine. Russian Tanks Have Crude Mine-Defenses. 3% of Ukraine. For its services in the war, UralVagonZavod received several honorary awards from 19411945, including the Order of the Red Banner of Labour (1942), Order of the Red Banner (1943), Order of Lenin (1944), Order of the Patriotic War (1945). Did our air force shoot down three enemy planes, or just one that was claimed by three different pilots? Yet the fact that Ukraines armed forces continue to frustrate the invasion is evidence that Russia has either mistakenly or deliberately overestimated the damage that Russian forces have inflicted. 54% of total territory occupied by Russia. U.S., U.K., Ukrainian, Russianand other public government estimates. But Ukraine possessed more than 3,300 armored vehicles before the war, according to the authoritative Military Balance 2021 published by the International Institute for Strategic Studies. These will not only be of interest to Ukraines Western partners (especially the United States), but studying these systems may help the Ukrainians to counteract Russian electronic warfare efforts more effectively. Russia is losing proportionally more of its more modern than its older tank models. Number of MRLSs lost by Russia and Ukraine (as of Dec. 21, 2022) Oryxs data only includes equipment losses that have been verified by available photo and Ukraine Tank Video Screenshot. Oryx, an open source intelligence website, has been collecting visual evidence of military equipment losses in Ukraine since Russia's invasion began on February 24, 2022. Technology. Photographic evidence collected in Ukraine shows that the Russian military has lost some 5,000 military vehicles since the beginning of the war on February 24. Shells are placed in a ring within the turret, and more ammunition is stored underneath the tank operators. The T-72B3, a more mobile version of the Soviet T-72, makes up the backbone of Russias tank fleet and has been heavily relied on in Ukraine. In the early days of the war, columns of Russian armor became jammed up along Ukrainian highways, allowing Ukrainian infantry to pick off tanks and other vehicles using a range of portable, shoulder-fired anti-tank weapons. They've become a key part of Ukraine's defense. Since Ukraine is a former Soviet bloc state, its soldiers also have the advantage of familiarity with the operation of used Russian tanks, meaning that Ukrainian crews can often just repaint them and start using them immediately. The invading forces were also expecting Ukrainians to receive them with open arms, which, as we know, did not happen, and the high number of casualties in the opening days and weeks of the invasion has affected the morale of Russian troops, who often fled their positions, leaving the equipment behind. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, Ukraine declared independence on August 24. [4][5] Oliemans also worked for Janes Information Services, a British open-source military intelligence company. Original Reporting. These units are designed to attack quickly with a lot of firepower, so they are made up of many armored vehicles, but few infantry troops offer protection to escort and retaliate if the armored column comes under attack. Russia is claiming more than 50 percent destruction of Ukrainian military equipment in multiple categories, including tanks and artillery. based on publicly available information that is kept by independent media outlet Mediazona. ", "The 'Ghost Of Kyiv,' Who Was Never Real, Just Got Killed In The Press", "Ukraine is Knocking Increasing Numbers of Russian Drones Out of the Sky with Help from Russian Corruption", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Oryx_(website)&oldid=1138721806, Information technology organisations based in the Netherlands, Short description is different from Wikidata, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 11 February 2023, at 06:40. Apr 1 #UkraineWar: Newly added Russian equipment losses: 1x Unknown tank (destroyed) 1x BMP-1Khs AFV (captured) 1x GAZ Full list: oryxspioenkop.com. In early March, the Russian defence ministry admitted that 498 Russian soldiers had been killed in action and 1,500 wounded, a large number after just 10 days of fighting that pointed to the danger of its attempts to take Kyiv in a lightning raid. Levada Center, Conflict with Ukraine: November 2022, Dec.12, 2022, https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/world/europe/ukraine-maps.html, https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60506682, https://ukraine.un.org/en/resources/publications, https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2023/02/turk-deplores-human-cost-russias-war-against-ukraine-verified-civilian, https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html, https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/the-military-balance-2022, https://reports.unocha.org/en/country/ukraine/, https://www.forbes.ru/society/478827-rossiu-posle-21-sentabra-pokinuli-okolo-700-000-grazdan, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/10/23/cyprus-russian-expat-tech-workers/, https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/05/06/nearly-4m-russians-left-russia-in-early-2022-fsb-a77603, https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/russia-3-year-bond-yield, https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-tools/ukraine-real-time-electricity-data-explorer, https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/what-russia-got-wrong-moscow-failures-in-ukraine-dara-massicot, https://cepa.org/article/ukraine-energy-grid-resilience-continues-despite-invasion/, https://thehill.com/opinion/international/3729102-how-to-save-ukraines-energy-infrastructure/, https://www.wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/russian-air-attacks-ukraines-power-system, https://www.levada.ru/en/2022/12/12/conflict-with-ukraine-november-2022/, https://news.gallup.com/poll/403133/ukrainians-support-fighting-until-victory.aspx, Domestic Politics Encourage Continued War of Attrition in Ukraine in 2023, Devoted to Putin: Volodin's Views on Russia, West and the Rest, 8 Lessons for Taiwan From Russias War in Ukraine, Kevin McCarthy on Russia, Ukraine and US Interests, The Russia-Ukraine War Report Card, Feb. 28, 2023, The Russia-Ukraine War Report Card, Feb. 23, 2023. By Stijn Mitzer in collaboration with Joost Russian forces have apparently not learned from past mistakes on the battlefield, and as a result, losses have continued to mount. Several ways in which Ukraine likely has an advantage are difficult to quantify, such as foreign military aid, morale, military leadership and information war, while Russian strengths like concrete territorial control are easier. As for Russian losses, the Russian military has lost 2,453 armored vehicles (including 425 tanks), 186 artillery pieces, 20 aircraft and 38 helicopters, according to Oryx. ( . However, in the coming weeks and months, Western MBTs including the German-made Leopard 2 and British Challenger 2 could begin to arrive in Ukraine, while the U.S. has pledged to send at least 31 new M1 Abrams. And US and Ukrainian officials have since claimed that Russia has suffered 10, 20 or 30 times as many casualties, claiming that Russian losses could rival the wars in Chechnya or Afghanistan. with Russian media outlet Moskovsky Komsomolets. T-14 Armata Super Tank Headed to Ukraine: Reality or Rumor. But even more extraordinary is that its elite units are hemorrhaging the most materiel. They have also been taking components from destroyed Russian vehicles, such as BM-21 Grad multiple rocket launchers, and adding them to civilian pickup trucks to create lightly armed but highly mobile rocket-launching vehicles. Russia Matters 2018 | This project has been made possible with support from Carnegie Corporation of New York. that Russia is losing around 150 tanks monthly. #UkraineRussiaWar: The Russian Army is now visually confirmed to have lost at least 1500 vehicles and other pieces of (heavy) military equipment since it began And the West has known about it since the Gulf war", "Fact Check-No evidence photo shows a Ukrainian soldier who 'blew up 52 Russian tanks', "Ukraine conflict: Why is Russia losing so many tanks? We dont know exactly [how many people have died] at the given moment, its better to discuss other questions.. The Russian news outlet Readovka reported on fighting around Marinka on Monday, saying Russian forces had fortified their positions in the south of the city. The military vehicles are usually abandoned, broken down, or out of fuel. He regularly writes about military hardware, firearms history, cybersecurity, politics, and international affairs. "The A growing list of failings and defeats in Ukraine have spawned angry outbursts from Russia's elite, who still support the "military operation" but have Thousands of conscription-age Russian men appeared to be attempting to flee the country Wednesday as others planned how to avoid being sent to the front ISTANBUL Alexander, 23, remembers panic-buying a ticket from St. Petersburg to this Turkish metropolis shortly after Russia launched its invasion A Russian T-80BV tank in the Ukrainian city of Mariupol. These numbers are just the Russian losses that have been visually confirmed; the actual figures are probably much higher. Smart Bombs: Military, Defense and National Security. Editorial Guidelines and Publishing Standards. Russian news outlets continuing to operate inside the country have largely stopped reporting on the death toll from the war, as censors have forbidden any discussion that calls the conflict a war or invasion. recent estimates from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense. Very old T-62M tanks have been increasingly appearing, as Russia runs out of newer, more capable tanks. Expert Biography: A Senior Editor for 1945, Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer who has contributed to more than four dozen magazines, newspapers, and websites with over 3,000 published pieces over a twenty-year career in journalism. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. You can follow him on Twitter: @PeterSuciu. [16] Forbes has called Oryx "the most reliable source in the conflict so far", calling its services "outstanding". Your email address will not be published. Marinka, about 13 miles west of Donetsk, has been subjected to repeated assaults by Russian forces and today lies largely in ruins. (Photo [+] by Chris McGrath/Getty Images), As for Russian losses, the Russian military has lost 2,453 armored vehicles (including 425 tanks), 186 artillery pieces, 20 aircraft and 38 helicopters, according to Oryx. Military casualties 2. A video posted by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense appeared to show the tank strikes: Since the start of Russia's invasion in February 2022, the US has supplied Ukraine with about 8,500 Javelin missiles a powerful shoulder-mounted portable anti-tank weapon. But Russia has also deployed hundreds of T-80 tanks, including the T80U, T80BV and the most modernized T-80, the T80BVM, which came into service in 2018. @oryxspioenkop. In theory, tanks should be supported by infantry and artillery that are able to locate and destroy enemy soldiers armed with anti-tank weapons. A Senior Editor for 19FortyFive, Peter Suciu is a Michigan-based writer. A Ukrainian servicemember inspects the remains of a destroyed Russian tank in the village of Lukyanivka, near Kyiv, on March 27. Russia: +25,000 square miles. Even more extraordinary is that Ukraine has captured a good percentage of them: 389 tanks and 415 infantry fighting vehicles, many of which, in both categories, have already been repurposed for combat against their former owners. The open-source intelligence platform Oryx has placed the numbers a bit lower but still reports that Russia is losing around 150 tanks monthly. You may opt-out by. The open-source intelligence monitoring website Oryx said on April 28 that at least 300 Russian tanks had been destroyed, with another 279 either damaged, abandoned or captured. Russia has lost an estimated 900 tanks since the beginning of the war in Ukraine on February 24. One video posted online last week showed a T-90M on a mud road, hidden under trees. #UkraineWar: Newly added Russian equipment losses: 1x Mi-28 attack helicopter (destroyed) 1x T-80BV MBT (destroyed) 5x T-72B MBT (destroyed) 2x Unknown tank (destroyed) 3x BMP-2 IFV (destroyed) Full list: oryxspioenkop.com Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine This includes 93 tanks, 76 infantry fighting vehicles, 64 armored fighting vehicles such as reconnaissance and anti-tank missile platforms, and 31 armored personnel carriers, as well as almost 60 engineering and utility vehicles such as HMMWVs that might not count as armored vehicles. This suggests that Ukraine has lost about 5 to 10 percent of its armored vehicles, rather than the 50 percent that Russia has announced. Russia imported these systems because it does not have the capability to build them domestically and because few other sources of this sophisticated equipment are available. Many of these were shot down by portable anti-air systems, as Russias lack of precision-guided munitions has forced their aircraft to fly low and drop dumb, unguided bombs, bringing them into the range of these shoulder-launched, short-range, surface-to-air missiles. If these numbers are correct, then the Ukrainian military should have ceased to exist as an effective combat organization. Even badly damaged armored vehicles, however, can be a useful source of spare parts, and Ukrainian soldiers also strip any working machine guns from such vehicles to use as infantry weapons. Defense analysis site Oryx, which uses open-source intelligence especially photos posted on social media to tally destroyed equipment on both sides, has counted 680 lost Ukrainian vehicles as of April 4. Meanwhile, Oryx - a military and intelligence blog which counts Russia's military losses in Ukraine on the basis of photographs sent from the war zone - says List Of Aircraft Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of #Ukraine Russian losses at Saky airbase updated with: - 4 Su-30SM ( . Russias rapid rate of attrition has led some observers to question whether the tank has a future in modern warfare at all. A destroyed Russian T-72 tank on display at the Royal Castle square in Warsaw, Poland. He has contributed to more than four dozen magazines, newspapers, and websites with over 3,200 published pieces over a twenty-year career in journalism. You could pick almost any military in the world including the U.K., France and Germany and these losses would exceed their total inventories. Oryx. The Economist reported this week that the Kremlin can at best produce around 20 main battle tanks (MBTs) at its single factory, while it has lost thousands in the fighting. [+] (Photo by ANATOLII STEPANOV/AFP via Getty Images). It made no mention of losses. In April, CNN reported that Western militaries had known for years about a design flaw within Russian tanks called the "jack-in-the-box effect," which makes the vehicles highly susceptible to catch fire and explode. This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available, the bloggers wrote. Join RM and the Monterey Initiative in Russian Studies for an online debate between Timothy Ash and Trita Parsi on the costs and benefits of the United States support for Ukraine. Again, most modern Russian equipment will operate in ways that are familiar to Ukrainian military officers used to operating ex-Soviet and Russian military equipment. China notionally Russias ally has scaled back the export of microprocessors necessary for Russias newer missiles, almost certainly because of the fear of secondary sanctions if it is seen to be feeding Putins war machine. They have also used sandbags, pine logs and metal cages to reinforce their vehicles, according to photos and videos published online. [6] Mitzer and Oliemans have also written two books on the Korean People's Army. Out of the 664 tanks that Russia has lost in Ukraine, 283 were abandoned or captured. 41% support continued fighting over negotiations. KEY POINTS. In total, Russia has lost 214 tanks to attack, capture, or abandonment, and 1,292 vehicles in total, according to Oryxs tally. But throughout history, the biggest problem has been the proverbial fog of war. Visually confirmed Russian Army equipment losses suffered in Ukraine now exceed 500 In seven days the Russian Army has already lost more equipment than the Azerbaijani Army did after 44 days of conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh in 2020. Barry Gander 20 Million Russian Casualties: The Incredible Price Needed To Conquer Ukraine Stanley Grant China Has A Russia Problem Joe Brunoli A False Flag [3] Both have previously worked for Netherlands-based Bellingcat. Total territory reclaimed by Ukraine since Feb.24: 29,000. Russia: 200,000 killed and severely wounded. A destroyed Russian T-90M tank in Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia region. Russia: 200,000 killed and severely wounded. Kate Davidson is a researcher with the Avoiding Great Power War Projectat theBelferCenter for Science and International Affairs. Ukraine's armed forces say Russia has lost more than 680 tanks. For example, the T-72B3 dating from 2010 and T-72B3 Obr. Area equivalent to Connecticut and Rhode Island combined. Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine. [8][9][10] It has been regularly cited in major media, including Reuters,[11] BBC News,[12] The Guardian,[13] The Economist,[14] Newsweek,[15] CNN,[9] and CBS News. WebOryx, Oryxspioenkop [1] , [2]. But there are indications, including from open sources, that Russia is sustaining heavy losses during the fighting. However, Oryx concedes that because its analysis is limited to photographic evidence of Russian and Ukrainian losses, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here.. #UkraineWar: Newly added Russian equipment losses: 1x Mi-28 attack helicopter (destroyed) 1x T-80BV MBT (destroyed) 5x T-72B MBT (destroyed) 2x Russia has lost 237 T-72B3 tanks, hundreds more T-72 variants as well as at least 170T-80 models since the start of the attack on Ukraine in February, according to Oryx, an intelligence blog that tracks Russian military losses. 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